First, his production might dip given that he already got paid.
Second, getting the terms he wants will motivate him to become a better player.
Third, the negotiations might drag on until Murray’s rookie contract is up.
Those are the scenarios that NFL reporter Dov Kleiman laid out in his recent tweet.
Jared Goff and Carson Wentz are examples to why you shouldn't pay Kyler Murray early
Josh Allen is an example on why you should pay Murray early [because he might take his play to another level if you don't]
Dak is an example on why waiting to pay ends up costing a lot more.
— Dov Kleiman (@NFL_DovKleiman) March 1, 2022
Kleiman said: “Jared Goff and Carson Wentz are examples to why you shouldn’t pay Kyler Murray early. Josh Allen is an example on why you should pay Murray early [because he might take his play to another level if you don’t]. Dak is an example on why waiting to pay ends up costing a lot more.”
Dak Prescott‘s situation could be a lesson learned for the Cardinals because the Dallas Cowboys ended up having no buffer years for their quarterback’s extension.
That’s why team owner Jerry Jones felt the full weight of Prescott’s four-year, $160 million deal a year after his rookie deal expired and he signed a $31.4 million franchise tag.
Where Will Murray End Up?
It’s safe to say that Murray has had a better career than Goff and Wentz.
Goff’s struggles forced the Los Angeles Rams to ship him and three draft picks to Detroit for Matthew Stafford.
Likewise, Wentz struggled for the Indianapolis Colts and was often saved by Jonathan Taylor and the offensive line.
However, it looks like Murray won’t end up like them.
But it’s hard to see Murray being another Josh Allen because he struggles when his top targets are not playing.
Allen elevated the Bills every time he is under center.
The same thing can’t be said about Murray, putting his value beneath Buffalo’s franchise quarterback.