The contract gives him $101 million in guaranteed money, including a $40.8 million signing bonus.
If Rodgers plays out the contract, he will be Green Bay’s play-caller until the 2024 season.
However, Sports Illustrated’s Andrew Brandt pointed out the strong chance that the 39-year-old quarterback won’t play out the entire deal.
Yes, this is why I continue to believe — I know, dead horse — that this is most likely a one-year commitment. https://t.co/DrNX7UUNYW
— Andrew Brandt (@AndrewBrandt) March 16, 2022
Brandt tweeted, “Yes, this is why I continue to believe — I know, dead horse — that this is most likely a one-year commitment.”
He shared his thoughts in response to Ken Ingalls’ post which said, “Typically, the longer an NFL player plays on their contract the cheaper the dead cap would be if they retire. This is not the case with Aaron Rodgers’ new deal – every year he plays makes his walking away more expensive.”
Ingalls shared a breakdown of Rodgers’ dead cap from $40.3 million in 2023, $68.2 million in 2024, and $76.8 million in 2025.
Therefore, Brandt is signifying that the 2022 season will be Rodgers’ last.
Brandt Could Be Wrong
Retiring earlier could pave the way from Rodgers to Jordan Love.
There’s no sense keeping a first-round quarterback if they have no intention of playing him.
If they’re not dealing him elsewhere, then perhaps Rodgers is already grooming him to be next in line.
But in contrast, the expensive dead cap could also indicate that Rodgers is confident that he will play out the three years.
Once a trade for Love is in place, that’s a strong indication that the four-time MVP will honor his contract until it ends.
If that’s the case, Green Bay’s rebuild won’t start until after Rodgers’ potential final season in 2024.