No-hitters are being thrown at a historic rate this season, and it’s hard to be sure if the trend going to end any time soon.
We have seen six so far—seven if you include Madison Bumgarner’s unofficial seven-inning no-no—which is a pace that will likely shatter all-time records.
This year’s league-wide ERA is 4.05, which would be the lowest mark since 2015 if it holds.
The league-wide WHIP, meanwhile, is 1.27, which has a chance to become the lowest since 1972.
The modern game is loaded with elite starting pitching which makes this a tough debate, but which three players might be the next to throw a no-hitter?
3. Tyler Glasnow
Tyler Glasnow has evolved into one of baseball’s most electric pitchers, and this season, he’s been appointment television.
At this moment, Glasnow has pitched the same number of innings that he did during the COVID-shortened 2020 season—57.1.
Last year, he allowed 43 hits and 26 earned runs.
This year, he’s allowed 30 hits and 15 earned runs.
It would be easy to say that Glasnow’s growth has happened quickly, but he very quietly posted a 1.78 ERA over 12 starters in 2019.
He has always been full of potential, but this season, we might get to see it over a full 162.
Glasnow is averaging 13.3 strikeouts per nine innings, and absolutely has what it takes to throw the next no-hitter this year.
Glasnow will face the Blue Jays tonight on the road.
Tyler Glasnow might throw a no-hitter tonight, his stuff looking especially filthy tonight
— Marc Luino (@GiraffeNeckMarc) May 14, 2021
2. Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole doesn’t just have no-hit potential—he has perfect game potential.
Cole leads the league this season in strikeout-to-walk ratio (17.00) and walks per nine innings (0.8), and it’s largely because he simply does not issue free passes.
He has unhittable stuff and has fanned 85 batters in 57.2 innings this season.
Cole has established himself as one of the game’s best, and it would be fitting to see him toss a no-no.
He has finished in the top-five of Cy Young voting four times in his career, and this season figures to be no different.
Cole will make his next start Saturday night against the White Sox.
1. Jacob DeGrom
Jacob DeGrom is far and away the most dominant pitcher in baseball, but he’s somehow made it this far without throwing a no-hitter.
In 2016, DeGrom tossed a complete-game one-hitter with the lone knock coming off the bat of Zach Eflin, the opposing pitcher.
It feels like only a matter of time until DeGrom makes history, and this is as good a year as any to do it.
DeGrom has managed a ridiculous 0.68 ERA through six starts and has allowed just 17 hits in 40 innings.
He’s also averaging 14.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
DeGrom’s opponent BABIP is .224, which is not absurdly low, implying that the 33-year-old’s dominance this season is not a product of luck or elite defense—he’s just been historically good.
To put his season into further context, DeGrom currently has the second-shortest MVP odds in the NL.
If he wins it, he’d be just the third pitcher to do so this century.
DeGrom actually tossed three no-hit innings on Thursday night in a rehab assignment as he works his way back from a side injury.
Jacob deGrom’s final line for Low-A St. Lucie tonight: 3 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 8 K.
He threw 41 pitches.
— Tim Healey (@timbhealey) May 20, 2021